Wednesday, October 20, 2004

Obsessed with the numbers?

Salon.com (http://www.salon.com/news/feature/..../polls/index.html) has an article going over the latest poll numbers and advice on interpreting them. What's more useful is they give a list of sites that summarize the polling numbers for you.

Electoral Vote Predictor 2004(http://www.electoral-vote.com/): uses the latest poll from each state, regardless of the poll's credibility, and awards a state to whoever is leading in the latest poll, no matter by how much.

USA Today's battleground state tracker (http://www.usatoday.com/news/politicselections/nation/president/2004...) also uses the latest polls, but it seems to refrain from painting a state red or blue until there's a consensus in the polls beyond their margins of error.

Washington Post's Electoral College map (http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-srv/politics/elections/2004/...) is a somewhat slower-moving and subjective affair, combining recent polling with analysis from the likes of David Broder.

CBS News electoral vote map (http://www.cbsnews.com/stories/2004/...) doesn't describe its analysis method.

Or you could just wait for two more weeks, yes?